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#62 Re: 差不多刚继续升了点儿级的乌克兰战争

发表于 : 2024年 6月 1日 16:59
meiyoumajia
(russia's krasnodar region become a much-better-known place because of its oil refineries having got hit (too many times, to russians))



https://www.wsj.com/world/europe/ukrain ... e-90b83f30

Ukraine Bets on Long-Range Drones, Raising Costs of War for Russia
The country is doubling down on a campaign of strikes on Russian oil refineries, airfields and logistics
Updated April 29, 2024 12:00 am ET


Inside a hangar tucked away in western Ukraine, dozens of workers in protective clothing mold fiberglass mesh and assemble the pieces into potent weapons: long-range drones.

With a range of up to 500 miles, the drones made here are designed to meet surging demand as Ukraine ramps up a campaign of strikes deep inside Russian territory in the third year of the war.

“There’s a lot of orders we still can’t fulfill,” said the owner of the plant, who declined to be named because of concerns about being targeted by Russia.

Facing setbacks on the battlefield, Ukraine is using long-range drones to reach far behind the front line with Russian forces, hitting oil refineries, airfields and logistics. The strikes aim to squeeze fuel supplies to the Russian military and deprive Moscow of export revenues to fund the war. By bringing the war home to Russia, Kyiv could also compel Moscow to redeploy air-defense systems away from the front lines.

Cheaper and more available than cruise missiles, domestically produced drones enable Kyiv to get around political constraints on using weapons supplied by Western allies in attacks on Russian territory. Startup drone makers have cropped up to meet demand with products ranging from the sleek UJ-25 Skyline to an unnamed model with a fuselage made from a length of plumbing pipe.

Earlier this month, drones struck an oil refinery and drone factory in Russia’s Tatarstan region some 930 miles from the border with Ukraine, demonstrating the growing range of Ukraine’s capabilities.

Ukrainian officials said drones struck two oil refineries and an airfield in the Krasnodar region overnight into Saturday in the latest attack.

...
The strikes are a bright spot for Ukraine at a time when its battlefield prospects have darkened. The campaign, however, has emerged as a fault line between Kyiv and the Biden administration, which is concerned about the impact on energy prices.

“Ukraine is better served in going after tactical and operational targets that can directly influence the current fight,” Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin told the Senate Armed Services Committee earlier this month.

...
Ukrainian officials say they plan to make thousands of long-range drones this year.

In the early days of the war, Ukraine adapted commercially available drones such as the Chinese-built Mugin-5, which defense analyst H I Sutton said was used in one of the first attacks on the headquarters of Russia’s Black Sea Fleet in the occupied Crimean Peninsula in August 2022.
That and other similar drones have gradually been supplanted by Ukraine’s own designs—though they remain heavily reliant on commercially available Chinese components.

The drones typically carry a warhead of 44 pounds, according to Sutton, who has identified 19 different models used in attacks on Russian territory, including a balloon that drops mortar bombs from a high altitude.

Made largely of wood, the AQ-400 Scythe has an advertised range of 750 km (465 miles) and a 43-kg (95-pound) warhead. Bober, or Beaver, drones can fly up to 620 miles with a payload of about 20 kg (44 pounds). The deepest strike yet was carried out by a light A22 aircraft that had been automated and rigged with explosives.

Costs range from about $30,000 to 10 times that much, according to one drone manufacturer. Even at the top of the range, it is still considerably less than cruise missiles that Western countries have provided to Ukraine on condition they only be used in Russian-occupied territory.

The rapid evolution of Ukraine’s drone industry reflects the ingenuity and resourcefulness that have enabled it to resist invasion by a much bigger neighbor. But the ad hoc approach has limits against a country that has put its whole economy on a war footing and is deploying hundreds of Iranian-made Shahed drones in tandem with missiles to erode Ukraine’s air defenses.

It isn’t clear how many long-range drones Ukraine is currently producing. One manufacturer said it was aiming to increase production to 500 a month by midyear.

Only about 20% of the drones succeed in reaching their target largely due to Russian jamming, said a Ukrainian military intelligence officer involved in launching them.

In a hangar in western Ukraine, several dozen workers are busy making one of the drones used to conduct deep strikes.

“Five months ago, this room was completely empty,” said a worker at the plant. The owner asked that the location of the plant, the name of the drone and workers’ identities be withheld to protect them from being targeted by Russia.

Before Russia invaded, the owner ran a business making plastic containers in the northern Kharkiv region. After fleeing to western Ukraine, he was working in rail logistics when the security services approached him last summer with a prototype of a long-range drone: could he replicate it?
“In our entire lives we’d never built anything similar to that,” he said.

The businessman hired several veterans of the country’s aviation industry, which was a leader when Ukraine was part of the Soviet Union. “At my age, I should have retired a long time ago, but my country is at war,” said a 74-year-old former head specialist at the Kharkiv aviation factory.
Within two months, the team had built two replicas of the drone. “They passed the test,” the owner said.

The next challenge was scaling up. There are now 75 people on a production line that begins with pressing fiberglass mesh into molds shaped like wings, tail fins and noses. After 11 hours solidifying in a furnace, the parts are assembled to make a small plane with a 2-meter (6.6-feet) wingspan. The engine and explosives are fitted at another factory.

The plant can only make one or two bodies of each drone type a day. To boost capacity, the businessman recently bought a second polymerization furnace. He plans to expand the premises and hire 50 more people to work double-shifts.

At the same time, he is developing a drone model of his own with a planned range exceeding 1,000 km (620 miles).

#63 Re: 差不多刚继续升了点儿级的乌克兰战争

发表于 : 2024年 6月 1日 17:13
meiyoumajia
https://kyivindependent.com/defense-min ... ts-drones/
Defense Ministry: Nearly all of Ukraine's drones domestically produced

June 1, 2024 10:22 PM

Nearly 100% of drones Ukraine’s Armed Forces use in Russia’s war are developed domestically, Deputy Defense Minister Dmytro Klimenkov said on June 1.

Throughout Russia’s war, Ukraine and Russia have heavily invested in drone technology, revolutionizing warfare.

Drones have emerged as a game-changer in Ukraine's military playbook. The nation's prowess in mass-producing these affordable yet potent weapons has spawned over 200 homegrown drone enterprises.

“Almost 100% of all products are developed in Ukraine. That is, the private sector dominates in this sector, which is good because it also contributes to the economy,” Klimenkov said.

Strategic Industries Deputy Minister Hanna Hvozdiar said on air on March 5 that Ukraine can produce 150,000 drones every month and may be able to make 2 million drones by the end of 2024.

She also said Ukraine is already past the million drones produced, the goal President Volodymyr Zelensky announced in late December 2023.

At the same time, the number of drone companies in the country is rising faster than what the government is able to support financially, the Kyiv Independent earlier reported.

Ukraine officially created the Unmanned Systems Forces, a separate branch of Ukraine's Armed Forces dedicated to drones, on Feb. 6. It will reportedly focus on creating special drone-specific units, increasing production, ramping up training, and pushing innovations.

Amidst battlefield challenges, Ukraine employs long-range drones to strike deep into Russian territory, targeting critical infrastructure such as oil refineries, airfields, and logistics. These strikes are intended to disrupt fuel supplies to the Russian military and diminish Moscow's export revenues, crucial for funding Russia's war.

On top of domestic drone production, Ukraine's partners plan to supply Kyiv with 1 million drones in 2024, NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg said at a press conference on Feb. 15.

#64 Re: 差不多刚继续升了点儿级的乌克兰战争

发表于 : 2024年 6月 2日 14:03
meiyoumajia
w----------ow

if real

#65 Re: 差不多刚继续升了点儿级的乌克兰战争

发表于 : 2024年 6月 2日 14:05
meiyoumajia

#67 Re: 差不多刚继续升了点儿级的乌克兰战争

发表于 : 2024年 6月 3日 00:15
meiyoumajia


#68 Re: 差不多刚继续升了点儿级的乌克兰战争

发表于 : 2024年 6月 4日 00:20
meiyoumajia
https://www.ft.com/content/f7a34e3e-bce ... 92f382c526
Russia-China gas pipeline deal stalls over Beijing’s price demands
Power of Siberia 2 project would offer lifeline to exporter Gazprom as Moscow’s dependence on its neighbour grows



Russia’s attempts to conclude a major gas pipeline deal with China have run aground over what Moscow sees as Beijing’s unreasonable demands on price and supply levels, according to three people familiar with the matter.


。。。


The people familiar with the matter said China had asked to pay close to Russia’s heavily subsidised domestic prices and would only commit to buying a small fraction of the pipeline’s planned annual capacity of 50bn cubic metres of gas.

Approval for the pipeline would transform the dire fortunes of Gazprom, Russia’s state gas export monopoly, by linking the Chinese market to gasfields in western Russia that once supplied Europe.

。。。


A deal on the pipeline was one of three main requests Putin made to Xi when they met, according to the people familiar with the matter, along with more Chinese bank activity in Russia and for China to snub a peace conference being organised by Ukraine this month.

China announced on Friday it would skip Ukraine’s summit in Switzerland. Two of the people said Beijing and Moscow were discussing ringfencing one or more banks that would finance trade in components for Russia’s defence industry — all but certainly incurring US sanctions that would cut any such bank out of the broader global financial system.

An agreement on the pipeline, however, remains distant, while the proposed co-operation with Chinese banks remains at a far smaller scale than Russia had requested, the people added.


。。。


“China could need Russian gas strategically as a secure source of supply not based on maritime routes that would be affected in case of a maritime conflict around Taiwan or the South China Sea,” Gabuev said. “But to make that worthwhile, China really needs a very cheap price and flexible obligations.”

China’s demand for imported gas is expected to reach about 250 bcm by 2030, up from less than 170 bcm in 2023, according to a paper published by Columbia’s CGEP in May.


That paper said the 2030 level of demand could still be largely or entirely met through existing contracts for pipeline supply and for liquefied natural gas. However, by 2040, the gap between China’s import demand and existing commitments would reach 150 bcm, it said.





Russia’s lack of an alternative overland route for its gas exports means Gazprom would probably have to accept China’s conditions, Gabuev said.

“China believes time’s on its side. It has room to wait to squeeze the best conditions out of the Russians and wait for attention on the China-Russia relationship to move elsewhere,” he said. “The pipeline can be built rather quickly, since the gasfields are already developed. Ultimately the Russians don’t have any other option to market this gas.”

Before the war in Ukraine, Gazprom relied on selling gas to Europe at high prices in order to subsidise Russia’s domestic market.

China already pays Russia less for gas than to its other suppliers, with an average price of $4.4 per million British thermal units, compared with $10 for Myanmar and $5 for Uzbekistan, the CGEP researchers calculated from 2019-21 customs data.


During the same years Russia exported gas to Europe at about $10 per million Btu, according to data published by the Russian central bank.

Gazprom’s exports to Europe fell to 22 bcm in 2023 from an average 230 bcm a year in the decade before the full-scale invasion of Ukraine. These are likely to dwindle further once a trans-shipment agreement with Ukraine expires at the end of this year.

Failure to agree increased supplies to China would be a hefty further blow. An unreleased report by a major Russian bank, seen by the Financial Times, recently excluded Power of Siberia 2 from its baseline forecast for Gazprom. That reduced the company’s expected profit for 2029 — when the bank expected the project to launch — by almost 15 per cent.

#69 Re: 差不多刚继续升了点儿级的乌克兰战争

发表于 : 2024年 6月 4日 00:22
meiyoumajia
for military-aged men, why "yes"?


Czechia launches pilot project for voluntary return of Ukrainian refugees.

The Czech government launched a pilot project to help Ukrainian refugees return home if they wish to do so, Radio Prague International reported on June 2.

Under this project, Ukrainians living in Czechia under temporary protection will receive compensation for bus or ambulance transport.

#70 Re: 差不多刚继续升了点儿级的乌克兰战争

发表于 : 2024年 6月 4日 00:25
meiyoumajia
how many organizations out of how many organizations altogether?

my guesstimate?
no organization has confirmed its participation
so, 107 countries!



107 countries, organizations confirm participation in Ukraine's peace summit, Presidential Office says.

Some 107 states and international organizations have confirmed their participation in Ukraine's global peace summit, President Volodymyr Zelensky's spokesperson, Serhii Nykyforov, said on June 3 on national television.

#71 Re: 差不多刚继续升了点儿级的乌克兰战争

发表于 : 2024年 6月 4日 00:29
meiyoumajia

⚡️Swiss upper house rejects $5.58bn aid plan for Ukraine.

Switzerland's upper house of parliament rejected a 5 billion Swiss franc ($5.58 billion) aid plan for Ukraine, over concerns it would breach the neutral country's borrowing restrictions.

The aid was part of a wider 15 billion Swiss franc plan that also contained 10.1 billion francs for the Swiss military but had faced opposition from lawmakers on the right and was expected to be defeated, despite being backed by a Swiss parliamentary committee on April 25.

#72 Re: 差不多刚继续升了点儿级的乌克兰战争

发表于 : 2024年 6月 4日 00:30
meiyoumajia

Italy to send Ukraine second SAMP/T air defense system, foreign minister confirms.

Italy will send Ukraine a second SAMP/T battery, the only European-made air defense system that can intercept ballistic missiles, the country's foreign minister said on June 3.

Speaking in an interview with RaiRadio 1, Antonio Tajani said it was "an instrument of air defense, therefore of protection, that Ukraine itself asked us for."

#73 Re: 差不多刚继续升了点儿级的乌克兰战争

发表于 : 2024年 6月 4日 00:40
meiyoumajia





#74 Re: 差不多刚继续升了点儿级的乌克兰战争

发表于 : 2024年 6月 4日 00:57
meiyoumajia
slava ukraini
!!!


#75 Re: 差不多刚继续升了点儿级的乌克兰战争

发表于 : 2024年 6月 4日 01:03
meiyoumajia

#76 Re: 差不多刚继续升了点儿级的乌克兰战争

发表于 : 2024年 6月 4日 01:07
meiyoumajia
"let's fight only in open fields!"?


#77 Re: 差不多刚继续升了点儿级的乌克兰战争

发表于 : 2024年 6月 4日 01:08
meiyoumajia

#78 Re: 差不多刚继续升了点儿级的乌克兰战争

发表于 : 2024年 6月 4日 01:17
meiyoumajia

#79 Re: 差不多刚继续升了点儿级的乌克兰战争

发表于 : 2024年 6月 4日 01:18
meiyoumajia

#81 Re: 差不多刚继续升了点儿级的乌克兰战争

发表于 : 2024年 6月 4日 01:26
meiyoumajia
an expectant fother/mather

on this day last year

#82 Re: 差不多刚继续升了点儿级的乌克兰战争

发表于 : 2024年 6月 4日 01:29
meiyoumajia

#83 Re: 差不多刚继续升了点儿级的乌克兰战争

发表于 : 2024年 6月 4日 01:31
meiyoumajia