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wokao 写了： 2024年 11月 6日 20:15 假普丁悲愤自杀

YouHi 写了： 2024年 11月 3日 01:48 The Selzer poll is generally considered the gold standard in polling. Dr. Selzer and her firm only tackle Iowa-level races, but it's the one poll that doesn't miss: she predicted Obama's caucus win in 2008, and Trump's wins in 2016 and 2020 (again, in Iowa) and was within 2% of the final margins - so even when people where saying that Biden was comfortably leading Trump, Seltzer's data was actually showing Trump winning Iowa by +7 or so (which meant the rest of the race in swing states was going to be much tighter, which it ended up being). This is the one poll that continued to output good quality results, even in the face of Trumpism and during the COVID years. So them saying that Harris would win *Iowa* is absolutely bonkers. If they're as correct as they usually are, then Harris is about to walk out of there with over 350 electoral votes.

tfusion 写了： 2024年 11月 6日 20:19 你割鸡鸡了吗？

未名未名 写了： 2024年 11月 17日 15:00 有人挖坟？

VladPutin 写了： 2024年 11月 2日 19:15

VladPutin 写了： 2024年 11月 2日 19:15

VladPutin 写了： 2024年 11月 3日 00:26 连艾奥瓦都能输，川阿扁还是洗洗屁股准备捡肥皂吧。

wokao 写了： 2024年 11月 17日 19:14 小留得多XX才会相信这个？？？？?