回顾和展望乌克兰情况

[meiyoumajia]

https://www.dw.com/en/ukraine-updates-g ... e-68811631

Ukraine updates: Germany to send additional Patriot system

[meiyoumajia]

the super hot area at the left bank where ukrainian marine has occupied for many months.


unbelievable

[meiyoumajia]

45%
35%
2
1
5
1
7

[meiyoumajia]

22%
52
1
4
3
13
0
2
3

[meiyoumajia]

[meiyoumajia]

22%
52
1
4
3
13
0
2
3

100%

“”“”“”“”“”“
This is a multiple answer question. Each of them aren't mutually exclusive.

I will have Lancet + UPMK/FAB + ISKANDER + FPV as my choice.






》Artillery
Exactly, but it would be too obvious







Boots on the ground.
”“”“”“”“

[meiyoumajia]

大约需要600miles/10 yards= 1百万前方士兵
去年（9月份左右？）80-90万
还要招50万

很大的可能是：在过去半年内伤亡大概有25万
（过去两年伤亡60万以上？）

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/04/13/worl ... dgers.html

In Ukraine’s West, Draft Dodgers Run, and Swim, to Avoid the War
With Russia seizing the initiative on the battlefield in recent months, Ukraine’s ability to defend itself hinges on replenishing its arsenal of weaponry and mobilizing troops.

（Ukrainian border guards patrolling along the Tysa River, facing Romania, in Tyachiv, Ukraine. The Romanian authorities say more than 6,000 men have turned up on their side of the river since Russia invaded Ukraine in 2022.）

Ukraine’s shortage of soldiers has become acute, generals say. In a speech in Parliament on Thursday, the commander of Ukrainian forces in the east, Gen. Yurii Sodol, said Russians in certain sections of the front outnumber Ukrainians by more than seven to one.

[meiyoumajia]

more from the article“

Many Ukrainians who rushed to volunteer in the first days of the war have fought continually since, with only two weeks of leave once a year. Soldiers are enlisted until the end of hostilities, with no defined date for release from their obligation to serve. With casualty rates high, being drafted, soldiers say, is like getting a one-way ticket to the front.
As Ukraine’s battlefield prospects have sagged, draft dodging has been on the rise.

In the hills and river valleys of western Ukraine’s border regions, men from elsewhere in the country have been seeking to avoid enlistment by crossing into European countries, where they seek refugee status.
The Romanian authorities say more than 6,000 men have turned up on their side of the Tysa River since Russia’s invasion. Not everyone makes it. The bodies of 22 men have washed up on both banks, said Lt. Lesya Fedorova, a spokeswoman for the Mukachevo border guard unit.


The exodus has shifted the nature of smuggling in Ukraine’s Carpathian Mountains, which border four European Union countries: Poland, Slovakia, Hungary and Romania. Smuggling that once revolved around counterfeit cigarettes has pivoted almost completely to the business of guiding draft dodgers, border guards and local officials say.

Last year, the Mukachevo Border Guard Detachment broke up 56 criminal gangs helping Ukrainian men illegally leave the country during wartime, Lieutenant Fedorova said. Prices for help crossing the border, she said, have risen to as much as $10,000 today from $2,000 per person soon after the invasion. Smuggling a backpack of cigarettes, in contrast, pays as little as $200.

[meiyoumajia]

“Everybody is afraid to die, but we try to make them look at it from a different perspective,” he said — the perspective of survival. He also describes frankly the random risk of artillery shelling.

[meiyoumajia]

hmmmmmmmmmmmm

“”“”“”“”
Still, the efforts to avoid the draft can be elaborate. On a recent morning, within minutes of officials beginning a patrol to check papers, posts on the Telegram social networking site were tracking their movements, alerting men who want to avoid the draft.
“Petofi Square,” warned a post in the channel, called Uzhhorod Radar, that tracks the recruitment officers as they walk through Petofi Sandor Square. In Kyiv, a similar site, Kyiv Weather, posts the risk of draft officer patrols in neighborhoods as sunny, cloudy and raining.

[BCQ1]

乌克兰作为欧洲第二大国，被俄罗斯侵略，其实唤醒了他们的民族精神
以前乌克兰人说俄语，也跟俄罗斯走的近，自打被侵略被轰炸之后，
决裂了，完全投向了西方民主社会的怀抱，普京也是偷鸡不成
反舍了一把米，鸡们都武装起来了，搞不好普京把自己也搭进去了。

[meiyoumajia]

头脑特别简单的半傻子们不愿意面对的一些基本事实是：“乌克兰人”中1/4是俄族或者三代内有俄族血缘。乌克兰政体形成和成倍扩张的历史与俄罗斯被列宁和赫鲁晓夫的切割有很大关系。在2008年和2010年两个屠杀数万波兰和犹太平民的两个人被列为国家英雄。2014年发生了政变而导致了半倾俄半倾西（但在乌克兰族化的）乌克兰内部分裂，战争就已经开始。至今，乌克兰是被欧洲人公认的最腐败的前三个欧洲国家之一。

[meiyoumajia]

与罗马尼亚接壤的边境地区人口基本是非乌克兰族人。他们中不少人甚至有罗马尼亚护照。
按照那篇nyt文章：一些罗马尼亚族人帮助乌克兰各族人非法偷渡而谋取暴利。



在某些其它地方（比如靠近匈牙利的地区），肯定也有类似的情况。

[meiyoumajia]

伊朗对以色列炸毁其在叙利亚的领事馆开始了报复性攻击。。。

以色列会不会与乌克兰竞争获得爱国者防空系统及其它武器和装备？

[BCQ1]

日本人还号称徐福的后代呢，你CLAIM日本跟你是一家？
乌克兰再腐败，也比瘪国干净

[meiyoumajia]

[meiyoumajia]

应该是俄国愿意看到的。美英会把不小的注意力和资源转移过去。有报道说美英都派飞机在空中拦截。

[meiyoumajia]

believe it or not

[ferrygao]

鸟克兰的结局是国家没有了

[meiyoumajia]