新未名空间

StMichael 写了： 2024年 4月 8日 14:53 https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamane ... le/2808734

这里是一篇西雅图Fred Hutchinson的文章， 根据网络可以搜索到的讣告建模估算中国新冠超额死亡187万

和上海文章结论一致

Logo of jamasd
JAMA Network Open
JAMA Netw Open. 2023 Aug; 6(8): e2330877.
Published online 2023 Aug 24. doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2023.30877
PMCID: PMC10450565
PMID: 37615984
Excess All-Cause Mortality in China After Ending the Zero COVID Policy
Hong Xiao, PhD,corresponding author 1 Zhicheng Wang, PhD, 2 Fang Liu, MD, 2 and Joseph M. Unger, PhD, MScorresponding author 1
Author information Article notes Copyright and License information PMC Disclaimer
Associated Data

Supplementary Materials

This cohort study estimates excess mortality among adults aged 30 years or older following the end of China’s zero COVID policy.
Go to:
Key Points
Question

Was the sudden end of China’s zero COVID policy associated with an increase in population all-cause mortality?
Findings

In this cohort study across all regions in mainland China, an estimated 1.87 million excess deaths occurred among individuals 30 years and older during the first 2 months after the end of China’s zero COVID policy. Excess deaths predominantly occurred among older individuals and were observed across all provinces in mainland China, with the exception of Tibet.
Meaning

These findings suggest that the sudden lifting of the zero COVID policy in China was associated with significant increases in all-cause mortality.

StMichael 写了： 2024年 4月 8日 14:52

图中小字部分是通过这个研究推算的全国新冠超额死亡人数：140万

超额死亡率千分之一

英美千分之三点四上下

StMichael 写了： 2024年 4月 8日 14:52

图中小字部分是通过这个研究推算的全国新冠超额死亡人数：140万

超额死亡率千分之一

英美千分之三点四上下

chace 写了： 2024年 4月 8日 17:07 这个文章也有一点缺陷。
估算出的超额死亡人数 1，396，780 是个6位 有效数字。这是不科学的
应该是像你这样的， 给出个3 - 4 位有效数字。