美新调研：川普“封口费”案今天4月15日开庭，这是美国历史上第一次针对前总统进行刑事指控，您觉得川普会不会被定罪？

[Topgolf118]

2024年4月15 前总统特朗普将创造历史，成为首位因刑事指控受审的前总统，他的封口费案于周一（15日）开庭。

美联社报道，这起案件将迫使特朗普在竞选活动期间花数周时间在曼哈顿法庭上为自己辩护，这些指控涉及掩盖他在2016年首次竞选白宫期间出现的婚姻不忠指控。

以下是关于封口费案和针对特朗普的指控需要了解的内容：

该案是关于什么的?

这些指控的重点是特朗普向色情女演员斯托米·丹尼尔斯（Stormy Daniels）和《花花公子》（Playboy）模特凯伦·麦克杜格尔（Karen McDougal）支付封口费，她们称曾与特朗普发生过婚外性行为，特朗普大厦的一名门卫也被支付封口费，后者称有关于特朗普非婚生孩子的故事。特朗普表示，这些均未发生。

特朗普前律师兼中间人迈克尔·科恩（Michael Cohen）向丹尼尔斯支付了13万美元，并安排《国家问询报》（National Enquirer）出版商向麦克杜格尔支付了15万美元。这是被称为“抓杀”（catch-and-kill）的可疑做法，出版商支付了某人报道的独家版权，但无意发表。

检察官表示，特朗普的公司向科恩报销了费用，并向他支付了奖金和额外款项，所有这些都被虚假地记录在特朗普集团的记录中，作为法律费用。科恩已承认在支付这些款项方面违反了联邦竞选财务法。

特朗普被控34项伪造商业记录的重罪。这项指控最高可判处4年监禁，不过如果罪名成立，他是否会入狱将最终取决于法官。

如何选择陪审团?

选出12名陪审员和6名候补陪审员的过程将从法官胡安·M·默肯（Juan M.Merchan）开始，他将把几十人带到法庭，开始剔除那些可能存偏见或因其他原因无法出庭的人。法官表示，他会原谅任何举手表示自己不能服务或不能公平公正的人，然后召集陪审团成员回答42个问题。除检察官、特朗普和他们的法律团队外，潜在陪审员只会被编号，因为法官已下令对他们的名字保密。

潜在陪审员将被问到的问题包括：他们是否在社媒上关注了特朗普，是否曾为特朗普的组织工作过，是否曾参加特朗普的集会或是反特朗普组织或集会等。

谁会出庭作证?

科恩本是特朗普的忠实支持者，后转为批评者，预计他将成为控方关键证人。科恩表示，他的目的是“说出真相”，并坚称他不是在寻求报复。2018年，科恩因安排向丹尼尔斯和麦克杜格尔支付封口费而对联邦指控认罪，随后入狱服刑。

其他可能的证人包括丹尼尔斯，她的真名是斯蒂芬妮·克利福德（Stephanie Clifford）。她声称，曾在2006年与特朗普发生了性关系。特朗普称此事从未发生过。

特朗普将怎样辩护?

特朗普否认有任何不当行为，并抨击此案是为伤害他2024年的总统竞选。特朗普的律师可能会通过试图削弱科恩和丹尼尔斯等控方证人的可信度来攻击此案。

https://www.uschinapress.com/static/con ... 29978.html

[杨和柳]

他们不敢判川普有罪。

川普蹲监狱，将会是美国内战的开始。

[Topgolf118]

他们不敢判川普有罪。

川普蹲监狱，将会是美国内战的开始。

这要由陪审团裁决，今天开始选jury

[杨和柳]

这要由陪审团裁决，今天开始选jury

挺好，谢谢您时时更新，我就指着美心八卦知道点儿新闻了。陪审团交头接耳，也得互相通通气儿。今年他们敢废老川，洪波就敢起义。

洪波枪杆子里夺天下可不是黑人打砸抢，黑人只会只敢欺负老弱病残，红脖子是颠覆性地让移民都滚，南方州旗到现在还有人挂，他们传说中的光荣与梦想。

我今天已经鸡贼地在车尾贴了个Dixie Wild life的车标了。

[Topgolf118]

挺好，谢谢您时时更新，我就指着美心八卦知道点儿新闻了。陪审团交头接耳，也得互相通通气儿。今年他们敢废老川，洪波就敢起义。

洪波枪杆子里夺天下可不是黑人打砸抢，黑人只会只敢欺负老弱病残，红脖子是颠覆性地让移民都滚，南方州旗到现在还有人挂，他们传说中的光荣与梦想。

我今天已经鸡贼地在车尾贴了个Dixie Wild life的车标了。

其实是两边的观点都非常强烈，如果判not guilty，川黑也会反弹。所以这个trial非常值得关注。对最后判决来说，陪审团的组成是关键。

[杨和柳]

其实是两边的观点都非常强烈，如果判not guilty，川黑也会反弹。所以这个trial非常值得关注。对最后判决来说，陪审团的组成是关键。

我不信，川黑都是键盘侠，只敢在网上瞎忽悠，在现实中个个又怂又鸡贼，暗暗挖坑使绊子可以，出门拿枪起事儿，根本不敢。

[杨和柳]

声明一下，我此处指的川黑是老白川黑。咱们华人川黑川粉都不算数儿

[sweetsister]

既有人证，又有物证，

判Guilty是合理吧

[VladPutin]

[Topgolf118]

选jury第一天一共96个候选人，现在剩下34人

[Topgolf118]

选jury第一天一共96个候选人，现在剩下34人

政治观点太强的做不了juror

[Mitbbsnewguest]

又是没有受害者的审判，检察官认为一个手写的支票是川普操弄选举基金的证据，但是检察官没有控诉川普挪用选举基金却控诉假造商业文件，没有任何受害者，找到川黑的 陪审团和法官，一样可以给川普定罪，黑暗世界莫过于此。

[sweetsister]

又是没有受害者的审判，检察官认为一个手写的支票是川普操弄选举基金的证据，但是检察官没有控诉川普挪用选举基金却控诉假造商业文件，没有任何受害者，找到川黑的 陪审团和法官，一样可以给川普定罪，黑暗世界莫过于此。

川普悍然违反选举法

受害者是美国选民啊

[justChat]

这种document case，陪审团作用有限，所有细节都有document支撑。

不过从监狱接受采访的铁杆反床律师avenatti说的很有道理，这个timing太差了，必将定罪，但也将加剧国家分裂。
2016的事，2018年事发，为什么直到现在才起诉，应该追查的是这六年是谁在拖着。
还有jan6，三年了，是谁把它拖到现在。

这要由陪审团裁决，今天开始选jury

[Mitbbsnewguest]

川普悍然违反选举法

受害者是美国选民啊

违反选举法, 就应该用选举法的法条起诉. 因为找不到证据起诉, 才用了这个虚造的罪名起诉. 楼上有人说了, 为什么拖到现在, 就是阻止川普竞选的手段呀 .

[Mountainlion]

猪屎党的坏基本没有底线

[tootsie]

在纽约判肯定guilty 啊，不管对不对有没有理。LOL

[Topgolf118]

昨天下午已经选定了七名jurors ，还需要再选定11名

[杨和柳]

歪个楼，hush money，Quora 回答，酒鬼家庭做foster family的问题，干了两天，拿了6个月的钱。

Have you ever received hush money? What were you paid to keep a secret?
Yes, I was fired from a company arranging language trips to the UK for being disloyal.

The “problem” was that in a case workshop I insisted on refunding the money and apologizing to a kid who ended up in a home where the family were alcoholic, violent (not to the kid) and so poor they couldn’t afford proper food.

This would also mean taking money back from the host family and blacklisting them. I thought I was a model employee protecting our paying customers and cracking down on those trying to scam us and the clients.

The problem is that there is a shortage of host families, so the company has to be protective of them, not the kids as there are new ones every year.

I said I couldn’t accept it, got called in to HR and told I was not welcome to work for them. After 2 days work, I would get paid for that and the 3 months notice period. I was also asked how much I would need to sign a NDA preventing me from going to the press or talking about this at all for 3 or was it 5 years. I mentioned a ridiculous sum, and then agreed to about half of it, which was equal to another 3 months’ full time pay.

So, I got paid 6 months for working 2 days, was not prevented from taking another job, and the company got into a scandal a year or two later when a kid who actually landed at an alcoholic family went to the press when the company tried to make him stay there and refused to refund the money.

[Topgolf118]

歪个楼，hush money，Quora 回答，酒鬼家庭做foster family的问题，干了两天，拿了6个月的钱。

Have you ever received hush money? What were you paid to keep a secret?
Yes, I was fired from a company arranging language trips to the UK for being disloyal.

The “problem” was that in a case workshop I insisted on refunding the money and apologizing to a kid who ended up in a home where the family were alcoholic, violent (not to the kid) and so poor they couldn’t afford proper food.

This would also mean taking money back from the host family and blacklisting them. I thought I was a model employee protecting our paying customers and cracking down on those trying to scam us and the clients.

The problem is that there is a shortage of host families, so the company has to be protective of them, not the kids as there are new ones every year.

I said I couldn’t accept it, got called in to HR and told I was not welcome to work for them. After 2 days work, I would get paid for that and the 3 months notice period. I was also asked how much I would need to sign a NDA preventing me from going to the press or talking about this at all for 3 or was it 5 years. I mentioned a ridiculous sum, and then agreed to about half of it, which was equal to another 3 months’ full time pay.

So, I got paid 6 months for working 2 days, was not prevented from taking another job, and the company got into a scandal a year or two later when a kid who actually landed at an alcoholic family went to the press when the company tried to make him stay there and refused to refund the money.

这个话题很重要，值得单发一个主题帖讨论