美国今年经济正在衰退或将会衰退吗？

[meiyoumajia]

现在都在喊着说今年是例外，不应该按传统的方法（按连续2个季度经济倒退）确定这次是衰退了。

https://www.cnbc.com/2022/08/03/these-c ... ssion.html
Even with the other evidence suggesting otherwise, many commentators have focused on the traditional definition of recession as being two straight quarters of negative GDP growth. The first quarter declined 1.6%, and the second quarter fell 0.9%, meeting that standard.

Another anomalous factor about the current state is that even though GDP fell in real inflation-adjusted terms, the economy on a nominal basis grew strongly during the second quarter. Nominal GDP rose 7.8% during the period but was outweighed by an 8.6% quarterly inflation rate.

By contrast, during the last recession, in 2020, nominal GDP contracted 3.9% in the first quarter and 32.4% in the second quarter, while real GDP fell 5.1% and 31.2%, respectively.

[lahei]

弟的标准神出鬼没幻影无形

[cellcycle1]

会