这里有人玩期权先用二叉树，蒙卡，BS公式，跳跃扩散过程等预估收益吗？

[idea911]

还是闭眼瞎买

[longtian]

理论在市场里都没用，会亏得你裤子都没有的

还是闭眼瞎买

[gooder]

还是闭眼瞎买

I don't know what they are. Do you have English versions of those terms ?

[magagop]

还是闭眼瞎买

完全不用，就是看成交行情跟著下單，如果沒有別人成交，就謹慎下單在ask-bid區間內部。

[magagop]

I don't know what they are. Do you have English versions of those terms ?

Blindly buying or selling at market price

[idea911]

I don't know what they are. Do you have English versions of those terms ?

Binonimal tree，Monte carlo value，Black-Scholes Model，jump diffusion process

[Mimi111]

看greek

[gooder]

I always set up a middle price between ask and bid price. It is fairly successful

when I try to evaluate the future value of option. I use the curve provided by a brokage platform.
It is very hard to predict the value with changing implied volatility. But, I use a linear relation to predict the future value. Obviously it is not lineage relation, but roughly the similar.