美国和瑞拉签了650亿桶石油的合约，这是卖身几辈子呢

[redot]

Trump says US reaches deal with Venezuela to control 65 billion barrels of country’s oil reserves | CNN Politics https://share.google/FoRsaACY1zwkYcb5V

美国就是稀饭宏大叙事，不算账吗？

[redot]

简单计算
现在1米桶/day，一年400米桶
回复到巅峰3米桶/day，一年1.2闭桶,需要要投入多少才能实现？
65闭桶，是60-150年的全部产能

尼玛吹牛逼不用算数?

核心是瑞拉能得多少利益。。。不然会出下一个查韦斯

僵菌都骂土共剥削中国人民，我帝准备怎么扶持瑞拉人民？

[redot]

To recover Venezuela’s crude oil production to 3 million barrels per day (bpd) from its current output of roughly 1.2 to 1.25 million bpd, it will require an estimated $183 billion USD in total investments and will take at least 14 to 15 years (targeting the year 2040). [1, 2, 3, 4]
Comprehensive energy sector data from Rystad Energy breaks down the capital requirements and timeline as follows:

Investment Breakdown & Recovery Timeline

*

• 2026–2028 (Near-Term Repair): To increase production slightly to 1.4–1.5 million bpd, an initial $30–$35 billion of international capital must be committed within the next 2 to 3 years just to fix short-term infrastructure. [3, 5, 6]
• By 2032 (Mid-Term Target): To scale production to 2 million bpd, an additional $41 billion is needed, requiring a stable investment of $8 to $9 billion annually. [3, 7]
• By 2040 (Long-Term Target): Bringing production from 2 million bpd up to the 3 million bpd mark requires an aggressive $75 billion more in capital expenditure. [7]
  *

---

Why Does It Take So Long and Cost So Much?

Decades of underinvestment, a lack of technical personnel, and severe degradation of the national power grid mean that simple repairs are not enough. Rebuilding requires completely overhauling the system: [8, 9]

*

• Heavy Crude Logistics: The majority of Venezuela’s reserves are in the Orinoco Belt. This extra-heavy crude requires sophisticated upgrading facilities and imported diluents just to make it flow through pipelines. [1, 8, 10]
• Infrastructure Collapse: Entire extraction systems, pipelines, export terminals, and electrical grids must be rebuilt from the ground up. In fact, analysts estimate it takes roughly $53 billion just to keep current production flat without losing ground. [3, 8, 11]
  *

---

Recent Strategic Catalysts

The investment timeline has received a massive push due to a historic 25-year energy agreement signed between the US and Venezuela. [6]

*

• US Administration Involvement: The US government and interim Venezuelan President Delcy Rodríguez finalized a deal giving a US-backed framework 100-year development rights to 17 fields holding 65 billion barrels of proven reserves.
• Private Enterprise Target: The Trump administration is leveraging major Western energy firms like Chevron and ExxonMobil to inject an initial $100 billion directly into rebuilding Venezuela's broken infrastructure. [11, 12, 13, 14]
  *

While the new political landscape and sweeping private capital laws have accelerated interest, the physical constraints of the oil fields mean a return to 3 million daily barrels remains a multi-decade endeavor. [11, 15]
Would you like to explore the specific oil fields (like the Orinoco Belt) targeted for redevelopment, or should we look at how this new oil deal impacts global crude oil prices?

[1] https://polymarket.com
[2] https://energynewsbeat.co
[3] https://www.ajot.com
[4] https://www.angelone.in
[5] https://www.policymagazine.ca
[6] https://www.straitstimes.com
[7] https://www.aogr.com
[8] https://thepeopleseconomist.substack.com
[9] https://www.cnbc.com
[10] https://www.industrialinfo.com
[11] https://www.facebook.com
[12] https://ktla.com
[13] https://www.wkrg.com
[14] https://www.youtube.com
[15] https://www.facebook.com

[redot]

AI的答案是 1800亿美元投入 14-15年时间 才可能。。。

[no34657]

简单计算
现在1米桶/day，一年400米桶
回复到巅峰3米桶/day，一年1.2闭桶,需要要投入多少才能实现？
65闭桶，是60-150年的全部产能

尼玛吹牛逼不用算数?

核心是瑞拉能得多少利益。。。不然会出下一个查韦斯

僵菌都骂土共剥削中国人民，我帝准备怎么扶持瑞拉人民？

卖100块的钱的油，中共和马杜罗给屁民1分钱，而美帝给屁民1块钱

不是美帝有多好，是中共太坏

[redot]

卖100块的钱的油，中共和马杜罗给屁民1分钱，而美帝给屁民1块钱

不是美帝有多好，是中共太坏

摆事实讲道理，能给1块就不错
问题是怎么做到650亿桶
经济是干出来的，不是吹出来的
中共续命瑞拉期间，没用采取任何措施和投资增加石油产量，反而是限产
瑞拉的问题本来就是美国制裁造成了
继续看，川大统领能做出什么奇迹吧

[thinkaout]

聚聚就是吹个牛逼压油价，你信他？

摆事实讲道理，能给1块就不错
问题是怎么做到650亿桶
经济是干出来的，不是吹出来的
中共续命瑞拉期间，没用采取任何措施和投资增加石油产量，反而是限产
瑞拉的问题本来就是美国制裁造成了
继续看，川大统领能做出什么奇迹吧

[redot]

2026年委内瑞拉的通货膨胀呈现“剧烈动荡、再度重回极高通胀”的趋势。 [1, 2]

2026年该国因重大政治变局（1月突发地缘政治风波、外部军事介入等），导致外汇市场动荡、玻利瓦尔大幅贬值。这打破了其在前两年一度相对缓和的物价走势，导致通胀在2026年重新抬升，并继续位居全球通胀率最高的国家之列。 [1, 3, 4, 5, 6]

2026年通胀核心统计与趋势

*

• 全年平均/预测通胀率：根据国际货币基金组织 (IMF) 的更新数据，2026年全年的平均通胀率预计在 387.4% 左右（年初因局势恶化部分机构一度悲观预测或超600%）。 [1, 6, 7]
• 年化通胀率（YoY）：
• 2月：因局势突变，年化通胀率一度冲高至 617.9%。
  • 7月：最新公布的年化通胀率依然维持在 576% 至 580% 之间的高位。 [2, 5, 8]
• 月度环比走势（MoM）：
• 年初暴涨：1月环比通胀高达 32.6%。
  • 年中放缓后再度反弹：5月曾一度因汇率短暂稳定放缓至 6.3%，但到了6月和7月，单月环比通胀再次大幅飙升（7月单月环比飙升至 19.9%）。 [2, 4, 5, 9]
    *

---

导致2026年通胀波动的核心因素

1. 政局剧烈动荡：
   2026年1月，外方突发军事介入并牵连高层，导致委内瑞拉国内政局与外交关系出现剧烈重组。这种极端不确定性直接重创了市场信心。 [1, 4, 5]
2. 货币加速贬值与外汇短缺：
   由于地缘政治动荡，外汇市场的美元供应量急剧萎缩，导致官方及民间市场的美元对玻利瓦尔汇率在短时间内翻倍贬值，物价随即水涨船高。 [3, 4]
3. 外部援助与石油资金注入的博弈：
   年中以来，随着各方展开外交谈判，部分石油销售资金开始回流委内瑞拉。例如，美国官员访问加拉加斯推动资本流入以稳定玻利瓦尔汇率，这成为遏制通胀进一步向数万级别失控发展的关键外部力量。 [3]

如果你想继续深入，请告诉我：

*

• 是否需要了解美委关系谈判对下半年汇率的最新影响？
• 是否需要对比民间经济机构（如西凡斯）与官方央行的数据差异？
  *

[1] https://www.csulfinance.com
[2] https://www.riotimesonline.com
[3] https://www.reuters.com
[4] https://venezuelanalysis.com
[5] https://tradingeconomics.com
[6] https://www.visualcapitalist.com
[7] https://www.statista.com
[8] https://tradingeconomics.com
[9] https://www.riotimesonline.com

[redot]

2014-2025

委内瑞拉过去10年（2015年至2025年）经历了严重的恶性通货膨胀，年均通胀率按年统计大致如下（根据Statista、世界银行及委内瑞拉央行/IMF综合估算数据）： [1]

• 2015年：约 121.7%（迈入高通胀初期）
• 2016年：约 255%（正式进入恶性通货膨胀时期）
• 2017年：约 438%（部分民间或机构统计更高）
• 2018年：约 65,374%（极端恶性通胀爆发，部分估算甚至超百万分比）
• 2019年：约 19,906%
• 2020年：约 2,355%
• 2021年：约 1,588%
• 2022年：约 186.5%
• 2023年：约 337.5%
• 2024年：约 49.4%
• 2025年：约 475%（年末再次显著反弹，居全球之首） [2, 3]

注：由于委内瑞拉官方曾长期暂停或延迟发布完整数据，各国际机构（如IMF、世界银行）及经济追踪平台的数据在绝对数值上可能存在细微差异。 [1, 4]
如果你需要了解：

• 具体的月度走势或购买力变化
• 某一特定年份的官方与民间数据对比

请告诉我，我可以为你提供更详细的分析。

[1] https://zh.wikipedia.org
[2] https://www.statista.com
[3] https://www.zaobao.com.sg
[4] https://data.worldbank.org

[redot]

Venezuela's inflation is running very high through 2026 and still highest in Latin America by a wide margin.

Year-over-year rate: Venezuela inflation hit about 576% in the year to July 2026, Latin America's highest The Rio Times , up from 544.1% recorded in June 2026 Trendonify . Some sources put the July annual figure closer to 612%.

Monthly trend: Prices had been decelerating early in the year — month-on-month inflation dropped from 33% in January to 18% in February, 14% in March, and 11% in April Statisticsoftheworld — but that reversed. Monthly inflation more than doubled to 13.8% in June, ending five months of slowing prices as the bolívar's fall speeds up after deadly quakes The Rio Times , and prices jumped nearly 20% in July alone The Rio Times .

Drivers: The core driver is a currency that keeps losing value — as the bolivar slides against the dollar, prices of imported goods rise with it, and since many goods are priced in or pegged to dollars, a weaker bolivar feeds straight into shops The Rio Times . A new rental law and aftershocks from June earthquakes have added extra strain.

Context: For comparison, Argentina, the region's other high-inflation economy, ran annual inflation near 34% in July 2026 — Venezuela's rate is more than fifteen times higher The Rio Times . This is still a dramatic improvement from Venezuela's hyperinflation peak of over 130,000% in 2018, but it remains by far the world's highest inflation rate.

[NativeMan8080]

共同开采资源没问题，关键是如何分利。

魏国下次大选反对派万一上台，一翻旧账，发现副总统签的是买国条款，能不能说被逼迫签署的合约无效呢？或者说副总统是靠选举欺诈上台，不能代表人民，所以合约无效呢？

这样看来，卢总督是不是不能做得太过分啊？

[F1450]

共同开采资源没问题，关键是如何分利。

魏国下次大选反对派万一上台，一翻旧账，发现副总统签的是买国条款，能不能说被逼迫签署的合约无效呢？或者说副总统是靠选举欺诈上台，不能代表人民，所以合约无效呢？

这样看来，卢总督是不是不能做得太过分啊？

反对派上台？你把民主想得太美了。什么东西美国会不掌控？

[newstudent]

如果美国代销委内瑞拉原油可行，当年把美国赶走的查尔斯就不会被选上台。

今天是重走当年的老路。

[F150]

南美左派上台，上台后赖着不走，都是当年苏联输出革命的产物。

以后不会再有了

[NativeMan8080]

拉美过去几十年都是在极左和极右之间剧烈摆动。美国是通常是极右的总后台，但是普通人支持左派上台搞均贫富。魏国也是一样。如果是明显的卖国协议，政权交替后能否落实是巨大的问题。

反对派上台？你把民主想得太美了。什么东西美国会不掌控？

[tnc]

百年合约，委内瑞拉不会亏的

[GiantHawkID]

硬抢中共的奶酪

Trump says US reaches deal with Venezuela to control 65 billion barrels of country’s oil reserves | CNN Politics https://share.google/FoRsaACY1zwkYcb5V

美国就是稀饭宏大叙事，不算账吗？

[NativeMan8080]

如果是公平合约，巨巨不会满意，因为按照市场价格交易就好，用不着抓对方领导然后胁迫。如果是不公平合约，魏国为何要执行百年？

百年合约，委内瑞拉不会亏的