俄对美德英波法乌等的战争之Bakhmut战，和其它，和然后，和中国，和宇宙

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步战车
10人上下（根据类型而有所不同）

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bad news and good news

good news and bad news

depending on which side

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finally
a video of the same kind on the ukrainian side

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雪往低处凑
人往低处走

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容11人

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最近两天战区有雪的视频比例很高，应该超过了一半
说明大部分视频都很新。视频相当新可能也是平时没有雪的时候的基本情况

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mlrs是覆盖性的武器
1弹的杀死范围是15米左右，但伤害范围更大

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最近两天战区有雪的视频比例很高，应该超过了一半
说明大部分视频都很新。视频相当新可能也是平时没有雪的时候的基本情况

"很新“/”相当新“是指在2天左右之内。3天之内。

这是昨天发的视频，有1半以上的可能是在下雪前一天的视频。

telegram上有些人专门根据视频找到发生的位点。
大多数部队的部署情况是清楚的。乌方更是如此，因为他们有些旅有自己的频道和随军记者。有些视频有位置说明而且有部队说明。另外根据地形特点和明显地貌或者建筑等情况可以找到位置。

还有就是根据一些战区的人提供消息。这类信息最及时。

制占据图的那些人收集到的信息都不会完全和及时，因此图之间会有少部分的明显差别，有时在个别重要地区差别甚至会很大。通常会有小部分会迟滞2-3天。suriyakmaps是中性的，我看的YouTube流量较大而且比较准的报告军情的频道都会用它。但它会比较迟滞。乌人的deepstate也比较准，但是更保守，因此迟滞更严重。suriyak最严重的迟滞发生在最近10天，它在前天报告说“8天前俄军已经夺回了vugledar的郊外区”，因此对那里做了个很大的更新。

不管怎么说，这些人做的事情还是比较可靠的，对大众比较及时了解战情是很有意义的。尤其对俄/乌两国的人。

找位点和制图的频道的流量都比较小。平均来说，它们每文的工作量比普通文会高很多倍。

这是一例

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阴天
3天左右前？

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“get the hell out of here”？

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vivid descriptions

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如此之快，显然是作快速突击用的

100辆很多了。如果集中使用，那会很震撼。leopard 2被分了1部分在vugledar地区。会不会从vugledar到bakmut地区开始大反攻？从地形和地貌还有运输等各方面整体平衡看，应该是合理的。zaporozhia太平坦暴露。。。kherson有大河阻隔。。。。kharkiv/lughansk太远。。。

如果已经出产了，送到前线恐怕还要1星期以上的时间。

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空降部队当然是快速突击/应对最强的部队之一

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https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-england-merseyside-65063312
Ukraine war guns likely to end up on UK streets, says weapons expert

The war in Ukraine is likely to fuel gun crime on the streets of Merseyside for many years, a firearms expert said.

Paul James set up the National Ballistics Intelligence Service, which uses sophisticated analysis to identify and track weapons used by criminals.

Mr James said the Balkans conflict had been the main source of guns being trafficked into Europe since the 1990s.

Guns held by civilians in Ukraine could also end up in the UK, he said, warning of a "time bomb waiting to explode".

Mr James said millions of weapons could circulate when the Ukraine war ends, with many ending up in the hands of criminal gangs.

"From experience, over the last 15 to 20 years, the guns from the Western Balkans have been the main source of firearms trafficked into Europe," he told BBC North West Tonight.

"They have been used in a lot of very high-profile crime and terrorist incidents, and we're still trying to reduce the flow of firearms from there. I think the situation in Ukraine is going to be much worse than that."

Last year there were five gun murders in Liverpool - Sam Rimmer, Ashley Dale, Jacqueline Rutter and Elle Edwards in addition to Olivia Pratt-Korbel, whose killer Thomas Cashman was convicted on Thursday.

Mr James said Merseyside had long been a key area for criminals in the North and Midlands seeking to acquire guns. Many of them were leading figures in drug gangs.

The weapons were used to "enable a lot of the organised crime in the Merseyside area", said Mr James.

The National Crime Agency said: "There is currently no evidence Ukrainian weapons are being sold to criminals but we will closely monitor the threat with our international partners."

Even without weapons being trafficked from Ukraine, there are still a significant number of guns on the streets.

Ch Supt Mark Kameen of Merseyside Police said: "Handguns are the weapon of choice, but we are now seeing Skorpions coming into the force area.

"These sub-machine guns have a huge rate of fire, they're absolutely deadly."

Twenty years ago Sicarius McGrath was one of the criminals involved in supplying guns to Merseyside's gangs.

He said he ran a lucrative "gun factory".

Previously deactivated weapons are easy to transform into firearms capable of firing live ammunition, said McGrath, who was most recently released from prison in 2020 and now campaigns against violent crime.

He said the process used to take him less than half an hour and "the profit margin is massive".

"I don't know how many people were harmed as a result of me putting firearms on the street," he said, "but no doubt people were harmed, and it's something I massively regret".

McGrath believes intense, hard-hitting education programmes would deter young people on the fringes of crime from becoming members of serious organised crime gangs.

"We want them to see the reality of gun crime. We want to take them to gravesides, and we want them to speak to victims' parents, and show them not just the injuries sustained, but the ripple effects it has upon families, the effects it has upon the children who have to go and see their fathers in prisons for 30 years."

McGrath warned of "a new breed of criminal" who are "reckless, fearless, and have a strong appetite for violence".

He said urgent action was needed because "otherwise many more innocent victims will die as a result of gun crime".

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finally
a video of the same kind on the ukrainian side

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