States with most guns do have higher defensive usage of guns

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fortyNiner(Niner)楼主
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States with most guns do have higher defensive usage of guns

帖子 fortyNiner(Niner)楼主 »

Data indicates people in states with highest gun ownership are 5.34 times as likely to use their guns for defense as people in states with lowest gun ownership. However, the rate is only in the range of 600 per 100 million population per year, compared to their 9,500 per 100M population per year for gun-related homicide rate and 447,000 per 100M population per year for violent crime rate.

However, it’s kind of like this:
Each year in states with the least guns, bad guys try to kill 100 innocent people, and only one of them uses gun for defense. The end result is the deaths of 99 innocent people and 1 bad guy. In states with the most guns, bad guys try to kill 160 innocent people, and 6 (or 5.34) of them use their guns and fight back. The end result is the deaths of 154 innocent people and 6 bad guys. So in states with most guns, gun-related homicide is 1.55 (=154/99) times as high. (The real number is 1.59, for the year of 2020, the most recent data from fbi.)

So the question is, why are there more bad guys in states with most guns trying to kill others? Are there simply more bad guys there, as jhe once suggested? But then that does not make sense since the states with least guns include NJ, CA and IL, states with many shithole cities, while the majority of the states with most guns are normally good and safe states like Vermont, Oregon, North and South Dakota, Idaho, Alaska, Wyoming and Montana. My guess is, in states with most guns and easy access to them, embolden by guns, bad guys are therefore more likely to commit crimes.


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Re: States with most guns do have higher defensive usage of guns

帖子 fortyNiner(Niner)楼主 »

jhe, do you think that's just another coincidence?
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