自2005年以来 美国政府财政首次出现盈余

[kiwi]

[bam]

活该！叫你作！

[kiwi]

完了

[cellcycle1]

真的，，，牛了，

[dramawatcher1]

真的，，，牛了，

是真的。仅次于2022年4月的 308B

That’s not just any surplus — it’s the first monthly surplus of fiscal year 2025 (which began in October 2024), and the second-largest monthly surplus in U.S. history, behind only April 2022’s $308.2 billion surplus.

According to the U.S. Department of the Treasury, the surplus was driven by “large individual tax deposits,” with April being the due date for final payments on prior-year taxes and the first installment of quarterly estimated taxes for many individuals and businesses.

[cellcycle1]

是真的。仅次于2022年4月的 308B

That’s not just any surplus — it’s the first monthly surplus of fiscal year 2025 (which began in October 2024), and the second-largest monthly surplus in U.S. history, behind only April 2022’s $308.2 billion surplus.

According to the U.S. Department of the Treasury, the surplus was driven by “large individual tax deposits,” with April being the due date for final payments on prior-year taxes and the first installment of quarterly estimated taxes for many individuals and businesses.

原来是 公民的税？

[kiwi]

Yes — that claim is accurate based on the latest U.S. government data. Here’s a breakdown:

* Reuters reports that the U.S. ran a **\$27 billion surplus in June 2025**, thanks in large part to record-high customs duties (about \$27.2 billion) from aggressive tariff policies ([washingtonexaminer.com][1], [reuters.com][2]).
* The **Washington Examiner confirms** this is the **first monthly surplus since 2005**, attributing it to Trump-era tariffs, deregulation, and efficiency efforts ([washingtonexaminer.com][1]).

So the statement is true — June marked a remarkable swing into surplus, the first such monthly gain in roughly two decades.

[dramawatcher1]

原来是 公民的税？

不一定。只是说如果按照每个月来算，那么每年都有机会。

[cellcycle1]

不一定。只是说如果按照每个月来算，那么每年都有机会。

哦，那是 trump 说的关税， ？

[kiwi]

Grok不同意这个说法 但总之是好事情啊

### Key Points
- It seems likely that the US government recorded a $27 billion budget surplus in June 2025, based on multiple reliable sources.
- However, research suggests that this was not the first monthly surplus since 2005, as there were monthly surpluses in June 2017 and April 2022, among others.

### Surplus in June 2025
Multiple news outlets, including CNBC and Reuters, reported that the US government had a budget surplus of approximately $27 billion in June 2025. This is supported by the US Treasury's Monthly Treasury Statement (MTS) for June 2025, which confirmed the figure. This part of the statement appears to be accurate.

### First Monthly Surplus Since 2005
The claim that this was the first monthly surplus since 2005 is likely incorrect. Historical data shows there was a surplus of $6.252 billion in June 2017, and another significant surplus in April 2022 ($308.2 billion), both occurring after 2005. Given these findings, it seems there have been multiple monthly surpluses since 2005, making the statement false.

---

### Survey Note: Detailed Analysis of the US Government Budget Surplus in June 2025

This note provides a comprehensive analysis of the statement "US government records $27,000,000,000 budget surplus in June, the first monthly surplus since 2005," evaluating its accuracy based on available data and sources as of July 11, 2025. The analysis is divided into sections for clarity, covering the surplus amount, historical context, and the claim of it being the first since 2005.

#### Verification of the June 2025 Surplus
The first component to verify is whether the US government indeed recorded a $27 billion budget surplus in June 2025. To do this, recent news articles and official government reports were consulted. Sources such as CNBC, published on July 11, 2025, stated, "June saw a surplus of just over $27 billion, following a $316 billion deficit in May." Reuters, also from July 11, 2025, noted, "US Treasury reports small budget surplus for June" with "Gross customs duties revenue reaches $27 billion for June." Additionally, the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) and Trading Economics corroborated this, with the latter explicitly stating, "The United States recorded a government budget surplus of 27000 USD Million in June of 2025."

The official data was further confirmed by accessing the US Treasury's Monthly Treasury Statement (MTS) for June 2025, available at [https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/files/r ... e-2025.pdf]. This document, updated as of July 10, 2025, showed a net budget surplus of $27 billion for June 2025 under the "Net Budget Results" section. Given the consistency across multiple credible sources, it is highly likely that the US government recorded a $27 billion surplus in June 2025.

#### Historical Context: Monthly Surpluses Since 2005
The second component to evaluate is the claim that this was the "first monthly surplus since 2005." To assess this, historical monthly budget data was examined to identify any surpluses between 2005 and 2025. The process involved searching for historical records in the MTS and related Treasury publications, as well as news reports mentioning past surpluses.

Initial findings from news sources provided conflicting information. For instance, Investing.com, in an article published on July 11, 2025, claimed, "The June 2025 budget recorded a surplus of over $27 billion, the first monthly surplus since 2017." This suggested there might have been a surplus in 2017, contradicting the user's claim of "since 2005." Conversely, the Washington Examiner, published two days prior, stated, "Trump tariffs and deregulation give June its first budget surplus in 20 years," implying since 2005, as 2025 - 20 = 2005.

To resolve this, historical data for June 2017 was specifically sought. The Treasury Bulletin for June 2017, available at [https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/files/r ... 2017-2.pdf], was accessed, and Table FFO-1 ("Summary of Fiscal Operations") indicated total receipts of $329,572 million and total outlays of $323,320 million, resulting in a surplus of $6,252 million ($6.252 billion) for June 2017. This confirms there was indeed a monthly surplus in June 2017, which is after 2005.

Further, other months were considered. Yahoo Finance, in an article from June 24, 2025, mentioned, "That’s not just any surplus — it’s the first monthly surplus of fiscal year 2025 (which began in October 2024), and the second-largest monthly surplus in U.S. history, behind only April 2022’s $308.2 billion surplus." This indicates a significant surplus in April 2022, also after 2005. Additionally, it is well-documented that April typically sees a surplus due to tax payments, and historical data supports monthly surpluses in April of various years post-2005, such as April 2022.

To ensure completeness, efforts were made to check for other potential surpluses between 2005 and 2017, particularly in June. However, given the confirmation of a June 2017 surplus and the known pattern of April surpluses, it is evident that there have been multiple monthly surpluses since 2005. The claim of "first since 2005" is therefore inaccurate.

#### Detailed Data Table: Monthly Budget Balances for Key Years
Below is a table summarizing the monthly budget balances for June 2017 and June 2025, as well as April 2022 for context, based on the data retrieved:

Month	Year	Total Receipts (millions)	Total Outlays (millions)	Surplus/Deficit (millions)
June	2017	329,572	323,320	6,252 (Surplus)
April	2022	Not detailed (source: Yahoo Finance, $308.2B surplus implied)	-	308,200 (Surplus, estimated)
June	2025	526,500 (estimated from Seeking Alpha)	499,400 (estimated)	27,100 (Surplus)

Note: The April 2022 figure is an estimate based on Yahoo Finance's mention of a $308.2 billion surplus, and June 2025 figures are approximated from Seeking Alpha for illustrative purposes, with the exact $27 billion confirmed by MTS.

#### Conclusion and Implications
Based on the analysis, the statement is partially true and partially false. It is true that the US government recorded a $27 billion budget surplus in June 2025, as confirmed by multiple sources including the Treasury's MTS. However, the claim that this was the "first monthly surplus since 2005" is false, as there were monthly surpluses in June 2017 ($6.252 billion) and April 2022 ($308.2 billion), among others, after 2005. This discrepancy may stem from confusion in reporting, with some sources possibly referring to the first June surplus since a specific year, but the statement as given is clear in its intent.

This analysis highlights the importance of verifying historical data when making claims about fiscal events, especially given the complexity of federal budget reporting and the potential for misinterpretation in media reports. For further details, the Monthly Treasury Statements and Treasury Bulletins are recommended resources, accessible at [https://fiscal.treasury.gov/reports-statements/mts/] and [https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/reports ... -bulletin/], respectively.

[rtscts]

According to the U.S. Department of the Treasury, the surplus was driven by “large individual tax deposits,” with April being the due date for final payments on prior-year taxes and the first installment of quarterly estimated taxes for many individuals and businesses.

完了，是瞌睡乔的功劳。

蘑菇头要大肆减税。

[kiwi]

看来还是grok更准确

[mesofish]

5月赤字316b
6月盈余27b

[dramawatcher1]

哦，那是 trump 说的关税， ？

不知道啊。各有各的说法

[cellcycle1]

5月赤字316b
6月盈余27b

四月份 啥样 ？

[mesofish]

四月份 啥样 ？

4月报税，基本都是大赚