川阿扁药丸， 卡姐在艾俄蛙民调领先

[Yesterday]

假普丁悲愤自杀

估计把捡的肥皂头放嘴里了

[赖美豪中]

一代经典，读了好几遍，请大家收藏

The Selzer poll is generally considered the gold standard in polling. Dr. Selzer and her firm only tackle Iowa-level races, but it's the one poll that doesn't miss: she predicted Obama's caucus win in 2008, and Trump's wins in 2016 and 2020 (again, in Iowa) and was within 2% of the final margins - so even when people where saying that Biden was comfortably leading Trump, Seltzer's data was actually showing Trump winning Iowa by +7 or so (which meant the rest of the race in swing states was going to be much tighter, which it ended up being). This is the one poll that continued to output good quality results, even in the face of Trumpism and during the COVID years. So them saying that Harris would win *Iowa* is absolutely bonkers. If they're as correct as they usually are, then Harris is about to walk out of there with over 350 electoral votes.

[foxdaddy]

你割鸡鸡了吗？

川粉现在割鸡鸡也没用了，洗洗屁股准备去集中营吧，这智商。

[windy]

完了

[未名未名]

有人挖坟？

[dunkelbier]

有人挖坟？

要三差五的挖，嘿嘿
要让大家看看黄浊鼻们当初desperate,撸得虚脱的样子，

[ignius]

作弊真是作弊成习惯了。

[JoeyKu]

哈哈哈哈哈哈

[zmz123]

左臂=作弊
名副其实
花钱买名调，主流媒体知道是假的，还是大力配合

[G99991]

卡姐绝经了没？

[kakeru]

说的太好了，先顶后看。

[CellcycleBa]

早就说过，凡是说我川落后的民调都是作弊的。
又一次证明了呗！

[Cnm]

事实再次证明：

做作左比爱作弊

[Yesterday]

普丁应该每天看一次这个贴，与油膏，长廊，狐狸爹，加州猫一起抱团取暖。
这个冬天会很冷

[wind]

你们低估了那几个：有滚刀肉，也有职业的。他们压根不在乎

[Cellcycle2]

完了， 有人挖坟了

[wokao]

小留得多XX才会相信这个？？？？?

[赖美豪中]

普金老师的肥皂是不是都化了

连艾奥瓦都能输，川阿扁还是洗洗屁股准备捡肥皂吧。

[赖美豪中]

你为啥要侮辱普金老师

小留得多XX才会相信这个？？？？?

[shanghaigang]

完了，真完了，摇摆州全玩儿完！