回顾和展望乌克兰情况
版主： Caravel， TheMatrix， molen
#48 Re: 回顾和展望乌克兰情况
对
两天前特别提到（在当下最大重点chasiv yar进攻）的俄第98 guards airborne师
有专门的频道
Good morning . The Winged Brothers continue to support the paratrooper units storming Chasy Yar with fire from the landing
在soledar和bakhmut，俄空降部队一直在与wagner紧密配合联合作战。因此不让人奇怪的是：wagner人在整编进俄军后，很多人被吸收到了在那个地区的俄军部队中。
A former fighter of the Wagner PMC with the call sign Kraken received the title of Hero of Russia for crawling into a trench with the Armed Forces of Ukraine under the cover of darkness and making 12 two-hundredths
He filmed everything that happened with an action camera and the video was uploaded to his channel Release the Kraken!
Now he is part of the Russian Armed Forces among those who broke into the eastern outskirts of Chasov Yar, support him by subscribing to the channel with content from the front line
fighting in the suburb of Chasov Yar continues.
On the south-eastern outskirts, the personnel of the formation take out the VSUK units. Fire from artillery, tanks, and TOS inflicts fire on enemy locations.
We continue to complete tasks.
Destruction of an enemy tank by the crew of the Lancet loitering ammunition of our formation in the western outskirts of the village of Chasov Yar.
The fighting in the suburb of Chasov Yar continues.
On the south-eastern outskirts, the personnel of the formation take out the VSUK units. Fire from artillery, tanks, and TOS inflicts fire on enemy locations.
We continue to complete tasks.
With the active support of aviation and artillery, the airborne units of the 98th division continue assault operations on the outskirts of Chasov Yar. Clearing of strongholds on the southeastern outskirts is underway.
The enemy is making attempts to transfer reinforcements to the city, so far to no avail.
The Russian Armed Forces actively use FAB with UMPC, destroying suitable reserves.
Barrel artillery is working.
用有热视功能的无人机追着乌兵小组投弹
Reconnaissance units, together with UAV units of the division, which have become a nightmare for neo-Nazis, continue to destroy enemy personnel. This time, an enemy squad dressed in capes against a thermal imager was destroyed.
两天前特别提到（在当下最大重点chasiv yar进攻）的俄第98 guards airborne师
有专门的频道
Good morning . The Winged Brothers continue to support the paratrooper units storming Chasy Yar with fire from the landing
在soledar和bakhmut，俄空降部队一直在与wagner紧密配合联合作战。因此不让人奇怪的是：wagner人在整编进俄军后，很多人被吸收到了在那个地区的俄军部队中。
A former fighter of the Wagner PMC with the call sign Kraken received the title of Hero of Russia for crawling into a trench with the Armed Forces of Ukraine under the cover of darkness and making 12 two-hundredths
He filmed everything that happened with an action camera and the video was uploaded to his channel Release the Kraken!
Now he is part of the Russian Armed Forces among those who broke into the eastern outskirts of Chasov Yar, support him by subscribing to the channel with content from the front line
fighting in the suburb of Chasov Yar continues.
On the south-eastern outskirts, the personnel of the formation take out the VSUK units. Fire from artillery, tanks, and TOS inflicts fire on enemy locations.
We continue to complete tasks.
Destruction of an enemy tank by the crew of the Lancet loitering ammunition of our formation in the western outskirts of the village of Chasov Yar.
The fighting in the suburb of Chasov Yar continues.
On the south-eastern outskirts, the personnel of the formation take out the VSUK units. Fire from artillery, tanks, and TOS inflicts fire on enemy locations.
We continue to complete tasks.
With the active support of aviation and artillery, the airborne units of the 98th division continue assault operations on the outskirts of Chasov Yar. Clearing of strongholds on the southeastern outskirts is underway.
The enemy is making attempts to transfer reinforcements to the city, so far to no avail.
The Russian Armed Forces actively use FAB with UMPC, destroying suitable reserves.
Barrel artillery is working.
用有热视功能的无人机追着乌兵小组投弹
Reconnaissance units, together with UAV units of the division, which have become a nightmare for neo-Nazis, continue to destroy enemy personnel. This time, an enemy squad dressed in capes against a thermal imager was destroyed.
#49 Re: 回顾和展望乌克兰情况
接我上贴里关于wagner和俄第98护卫空降师的一个评语：：：：
我不知道这个频道主人的具体身份。他与wagner里的人有密切联系，甚至在俄攻打bakhmut的时候去过那里。
因此他现在很可能对第98师的情况（相对外界来说）也很了解。
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我不知道这个频道主人的具体身份。他与wagner里的人有密切联系，甚至在俄攻打bakhmut的时候去过那里。
因此他现在很可能对第98师的情况（相对外界来说）也很了解。
本页超过 30 条嵌入内容，超出的已被忽略！
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上次由 meiyoumajia 在 2024年 4月 11日 15:22 修改。
#50 Re: 回顾和展望乌克兰情况
虽然俄罗斯战场上稍微占上风，但是看起来有点底气不足
最近拉夫罗夫跑到中国呼吁和谈，看起来俄罗斯需要喘息一下
乌克兰也不是吃素的，把俄罗斯消耗的够呛
然后北约在后面准备捡便宜，俄罗斯很难受啊
以后中国打台湾一模一样的剧情，国军一直拖着消耗共军
然后美日在后面提供后勤支援，同时伺机带动
现在中俄很大的劣势就是在这种代理人战争里面找不到帮手了
然后不得不亲自上场，这样国内的经济会受到极大影响
同时在持久战里面民众情绪拖久了也会变得厌烦
在这种战略里面，欧美占上风
最近拉夫罗夫跑到中国呼吁和谈，看起来俄罗斯需要喘息一下
乌克兰也不是吃素的，把俄罗斯消耗的够呛
然后北约在后面准备捡便宜，俄罗斯很难受啊
以后中国打台湾一模一样的剧情，国军一直拖着消耗共军
然后美日在后面提供后勤支援，同时伺机带动
现在中俄很大的劣势就是在这种代理人战争里面找不到帮手了
然后不得不亲自上场，这样国内的经济会受到极大影响
同时在持久战里面民众情绪拖久了也会变得厌烦
在这种战略里面，欧美占上风
#51 Re: 回顾和展望乌克兰情况
俄外长到中国那边去讨论和谈很可能是由于在6月初要在瑞士搞还没有俄罗斯参加的和谈
global south的几个主要国家都被邀请去，但并非很中立的主导国瑞士的基调是在特别顺着乌克兰
中俄经济现状和发展前景不比欧盟/北约差
过去几个月的共识是：俄罗斯过了最困难期（因此有能力反攻）。武器生产提高更是惊人。（到年末，全年平均日产炮弹数将几乎持平现在日均消耗量。）
（中印等事实上提供经济。。。，伊朗提供更多的远程无人机在俄生产和技术，朝鲜提供炮弹-现在在传中国通过朝鲜做这-------我一年多以前就有过的预测）
现在乌克兰抗征兵比较严重。demobilization/rotation/increased more mobilization是热门话题。俄军在乌克兰的战区只用contract soldiers。每年15万左右新征的（1年）义务兵是不上前线的。这方面其实存在着乌克兰最大的根本问题。
中国当然希望在欧洲耗着它们。战争持续久了，北约国家对今后较大程度地涉入可能出现的台海两岸战争会更有更多的顾虑。
global south的几个主要国家都被邀请去，但并非很中立的主导国瑞士的基调是在特别顺着乌克兰
中俄经济现状和发展前景不比欧盟/北约差
过去几个月的共识是：俄罗斯过了最困难期（因此有能力反攻）。武器生产提高更是惊人。（到年末，全年平均日产炮弹数将几乎持平现在日均消耗量。）
（中印等事实上提供经济。。。，伊朗提供更多的远程无人机在俄生产和技术，朝鲜提供炮弹-现在在传中国通过朝鲜做这-------我一年多以前就有过的预测）
现在乌克兰抗征兵比较严重。demobilization/rotation/increased more mobilization是热门话题。俄军在乌克兰的战区只用contract soldiers。每年15万左右新征的（1年）义务兵是不上前线的。这方面其实存在着乌克兰最大的根本问题。
中国当然希望在欧洲耗着它们。战争持续久了，北约国家对今后较大程度地涉入可能出现的台海两岸战争会更有更多的顾虑。
#52 Re: 回顾和展望乌克兰情况
美国也要继续支援以色列，而且会优先于乌克兰。如果川普上台，对以色列的优先对待就更不会被改变。
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/israel-ira ... -conflict/
U.S. issues travel warning for Israel with Iran attack believed to be imminent and fear Gaza war could spread
Iran has vowed to take revenge for Israel killing its commanders, who were hit by an April 1 strike on the Iranian embassy in Syria's capital.
Two U.S. officials told CBS News that a major Iranian attack against Israel was expected as soon as Friday, possibly to include more than 100 drones and dozens of missiles aimed at military targets inside the country.
The officials said it would be challenging for the Israelis to defend against an attack of such a magnitude, and while they held out the possibility that the Iranians could opt for a smaller-scale attack to avoid a dramatic escalation, their retaliation was believed to be imminent.
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/israel-ira ... -conflict/
U.S. issues travel warning for Israel with Iran attack believed to be imminent and fear Gaza war could spread
Iran has vowed to take revenge for Israel killing its commanders, who were hit by an April 1 strike on the Iranian embassy in Syria's capital.
Two U.S. officials told CBS News that a major Iranian attack against Israel was expected as soon as Friday, possibly to include more than 100 drones and dozens of missiles aimed at military targets inside the country.
The officials said it would be challenging for the Israelis to defend against an attack of such a magnitude, and while they held out the possibility that the Iranians could opt for a smaller-scale attack to avoid a dramatic escalation, their retaliation was believed to be imminent.
#55 Re: 回顾和展望乌克兰情况
https://sg.news.yahoo.com/russia-unleas ... 00090.html
Russian forces have deployed a powerful ODAB-1500 bomb in Ukraine for the first time, striking the town of Velyka Pysarivka in Sumy Oblast, Russian Bild reported on Telegram on March 30.
Following the ODAB-1500 strike, a smoke cloud billowed to a height of 1 kilometer, reported Bild military analyst Julian Röpcke.
The ODAB, or volumetric detonating aviation bomb, is a relic from the Soviet era. About 10 meters before impact, this bomb releases a combustible liquid in aerosol form, igniting upon contact, resulting in a volumetric explosion. These bombs primarily target enemy soldiers and lightly armored vehicles, delivering devastating blast effects.
ODAB bombs vary in size, with the ODAB-500 covering an effective impact area of up to 300 square meters, while the ODAB-1500 extends to 500 square meters.
The Russians earlier used smaller ODAB bombs, ranging from 170 to 500 kilograms. Röpcke describes the use of a 1.5-ton bomb in a civilian settlement as "a new low in Russia's war against Ukrainian cities."
Ukrainian military expert Oleksandr Kovalenko corroborates the deployment of this projectile. The Russians carried out its first verified usage in Sumy Oblast, he said in a comment to Ukraine's Channel 24.
"The Russians are fully tapping into their arsenal of aviation bombs from the Soviet era," said Kovalenko.
"They can produce them using the old methodology."
At the epicenter of the ODAB bomb blast, pressure spikes to 120 atmospheres, making it impossible to hide from, he said.
These bombs, he said, pose an extreme danger, surpassing even conventional FABs (Soviet-designed general-purpose air-dropped bombs).
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Russian forces have deployed a powerful ODAB-1500 bomb in Ukraine for the first time, striking the town of Velyka Pysarivka in Sumy Oblast, Russian Bild reported on Telegram on March 30.
Following the ODAB-1500 strike, a smoke cloud billowed to a height of 1 kilometer, reported Bild military analyst Julian Röpcke.
The ODAB, or volumetric detonating aviation bomb, is a relic from the Soviet era. About 10 meters before impact, this bomb releases a combustible liquid in aerosol form, igniting upon contact, resulting in a volumetric explosion. These bombs primarily target enemy soldiers and lightly armored vehicles, delivering devastating blast effects.
ODAB bombs vary in size, with the ODAB-500 covering an effective impact area of up to 300 square meters, while the ODAB-1500 extends to 500 square meters.
The Russians earlier used smaller ODAB bombs, ranging from 170 to 500 kilograms. Röpcke describes the use of a 1.5-ton bomb in a civilian settlement as "a new low in Russia's war against Ukrainian cities."
Ukrainian military expert Oleksandr Kovalenko corroborates the deployment of this projectile. The Russians carried out its first verified usage in Sumy Oblast, he said in a comment to Ukraine's Channel 24.
"The Russians are fully tapping into their arsenal of aviation bombs from the Soviet era," said Kovalenko.
"They can produce them using the old methodology."
At the epicenter of the ODAB bomb blast, pressure spikes to 120 atmospheres, making it impossible to hide from, he said.
These bombs, he said, pose an extreme danger, surpassing even conventional FABs (Soviet-designed general-purpose air-dropped bombs).
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#58 Re: 回顾和展望乌克兰情况
https://en.topwar.ru/199909-kompleks-ko ... lchak.html
Adjustable weapon system 1K113 "Smelchak"
At the disposal of Russian gunners there is a wide range of ammunition for various purposes, incl. a range of high-precision samples with different characteristics. For example, to improve the accuracy and efficiency of fire of 240-mm mortars, the 1K113 “Smelchak” corrective weapon system was developed and adopted. It allows you to hit a variety of small or area targets with minimal ammunition consumption.
Technical appearance
KKV 1K113 "Smelchak" is intended for use with existing domestic 240-mm mortars and provides an increase in their firing characteristics. "Tulip" or M-240 with such a complex retain the ability to defeat single and group targets, such as fortifications or structures, weapons or equipment in positions. This improves accuracy and achieves a corresponding increase in efficiency.
The Smelchak complex is being built on the basis of serial 2S4 or M-240 mortars. Mortars do not undergo noticeable processing, but they are supplemented with new devices, such as the 1A35 synchronization system. Mortars are also used with standard means of communication and fire control.
The main component of the KKV 1K113 is the 3VF4 mortar round with the 3F5 corrected mine. The latter is a 240 mm caliber projectile with a length of 1635 mm and a mass of 134 kg. The mine is made in a body with a conical head, a cylindrical central compartment and a tapering tail assembly. The latter is equipped with folding stabilizers. Outwardly, the 3F5 mine looks like an artillery shell for cannons - but many times larger and heavier than such ammunition.
Under the mine fairing is a semi-active laser homing head. On the descending part of the trajectory, the seeker detects a laser-illuminated target and corrects the trajectory to fall on it. The trajectory changes in a gas-dynamic way. In the tail section of the 3F5 mine, small-sized solid propellant charge-engines are radially installed. At the command of the GOS, they create short pulses and change the direction of the mine's flight.
Guidance and correction tools from the 1K113 composition make it possible to reduce the CEP to 0,8-1,8 m. Due to this, hitting a typical target requires no more than 1-3 minutes. The use of unguided munitions requires many times more consumption.
Mina "Daredevil" carries an explosive charge weighing 32 kg. Such a charge is placed in a metal case, crushed into several thousand high-speed fragments. In terms of high-explosive fragmentation, the 3F5 mine is at least as good as other munitions in 240 mm caliber. The maximum firing range reaches 9,5 km - also at the level of other mines.
The target is illuminated by the gunner from the ground using a laser designator-rangefinder. Initially, the 1D15 device with 1A35 synchronization tools was used as part of the Smelchak KKV. In the mid-eighties, a more advanced 1D20 was created. According to some information, now the 1K113 complex is also used with other means of illumination. For example, reconnaissance UAVs can help mortarmen.
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Adjustable weapon system 1K113 "Smelchak"
At the disposal of Russian gunners there is a wide range of ammunition for various purposes, incl. a range of high-precision samples with different characteristics. For example, to improve the accuracy and efficiency of fire of 240-mm mortars, the 1K113 “Smelchak” corrective weapon system was developed and adopted. It allows you to hit a variety of small or area targets with minimal ammunition consumption.
Technical appearance
KKV 1K113 "Smelchak" is intended for use with existing domestic 240-mm mortars and provides an increase in their firing characteristics. "Tulip" or M-240 with such a complex retain the ability to defeat single and group targets, such as fortifications or structures, weapons or equipment in positions. This improves accuracy and achieves a corresponding increase in efficiency.
The Smelchak complex is being built on the basis of serial 2S4 or M-240 mortars. Mortars do not undergo noticeable processing, but they are supplemented with new devices, such as the 1A35 synchronization system. Mortars are also used with standard means of communication and fire control.
The main component of the KKV 1K113 is the 3VF4 mortar round with the 3F5 corrected mine. The latter is a 240 mm caliber projectile with a length of 1635 mm and a mass of 134 kg. The mine is made in a body with a conical head, a cylindrical central compartment and a tapering tail assembly. The latter is equipped with folding stabilizers. Outwardly, the 3F5 mine looks like an artillery shell for cannons - but many times larger and heavier than such ammunition.
Under the mine fairing is a semi-active laser homing head. On the descending part of the trajectory, the seeker detects a laser-illuminated target and corrects the trajectory to fall on it. The trajectory changes in a gas-dynamic way. In the tail section of the 3F5 mine, small-sized solid propellant charge-engines are radially installed. At the command of the GOS, they create short pulses and change the direction of the mine's flight.
Guidance and correction tools from the 1K113 composition make it possible to reduce the CEP to 0,8-1,8 m. Due to this, hitting a typical target requires no more than 1-3 minutes. The use of unguided munitions requires many times more consumption.
Mina "Daredevil" carries an explosive charge weighing 32 kg. Such a charge is placed in a metal case, crushed into several thousand high-speed fragments. In terms of high-explosive fragmentation, the 3F5 mine is at least as good as other munitions in 240 mm caliber. The maximum firing range reaches 9,5 km - also at the level of other mines.
The target is illuminated by the gunner from the ground using a laser designator-rangefinder. Initially, the 1D15 device with 1A35 synchronization tools was used as part of the Smelchak KKV. In the mid-eighties, a more advanced 1D20 was created. According to some information, now the 1K113 complex is also used with other means of illumination. For example, reconnaissance UAVs can help mortarmen.
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#61 Re: 回顾和展望乌克兰情况
most likely the owner of the channel was in the sumy region last year. at times, he travelled to at least 2 other oblasts where he has relatives or friends.
he was very frustrated by russia's super-slow progress/regress in the war, and for a while was letting others take over the channel
i didn't follow the war for some time
when i started to follow it again, the channel didn't exist any more
then it returned
that's why it has only 1323 subscribers
it is a pretty good channel, for he most likely still lives in the ukrainian government controlled areas or at least know people who are still living there, and for sometimes he also provides info. from the other side.
like me, he has been trying to get a wider perspective, which is why i somewhat like or (should i say?) even love both of us
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he was very frustrated by russia's super-slow progress/regress in the war, and for a while was letting others take over the channel
i didn't follow the war for some time
when i started to follow it again, the channel didn't exist any more
then it returned
that's why it has only 1323 subscribers
it is a pretty good channel, for he most likely still lives in the ukrainian government controlled areas or at least know people who are still living there, and for sometimes he also provides info. from the other side.
like me, he has been trying to get a wider perspective, which is why i somewhat like or (should i say?) even love both of us
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