https://www.economist.com/europe/2024/0 ... ds-english
May 2nd 2024
Emmanuel Macron in his own words (English)
The French president’s interview with The Economist
Editor’s note: The interview was conducted at the Elysée Palace in Paris on April 29th.
The Economist: Do you stand by what you said about possibly sending ground troops to Ukraine?
Emmanuel Macron: Absolutely. As I said, I’m not ruling anything out, because we are facing someone who is not ruling anything out. We have undoubtedly been too hesitant by defining the limits of our action to someone who no longer has any and who is the aggressor! Our capacity is to be credible, to continue to help, to give Ukraine the means to resist. But our credibility also depends on a capacity to deter by not giving full visibility as to what we will or will not do. Otherwise we weaken ourselves, which is the framework within which we have been operating until now. In fact, many countries said that in the weeks that followed that they understood our approach, that they agreed with our position and that this position was a good thing. I have a clear strategic objective: Russia cannot win in Ukraine. If Russia wins in Ukraine, there will be no security in Europe. Who can pretend that Russia will stop there? What security will there be for the other neighbouring countries, Moldova, Romania, Poland, Lithuania and the others? And behind that, what credibility for Europeans who would have spent billions, said that the survival of the continent was at stake and not have given themselves the means to stop Russia? So yes, we mustn’t rule anything out because our objective is that Russia must never be able to win in Ukraine
After that, the question is what is the American strategy towards China and what is the Chinese strategy towards the Americans? I prefer to choose my relationship with the United States, with China, rather than have it imposed on me by one of the two parties, either pushing me in one direction or pulling me in the other. Very clearly, we are not equidistant. We are allies of the Americans. We have disagreements from time to time, and we must be able to acknowledge and respect these disagreements. We also have trade relations with China, which is a great power. We need it, we can trade with it within the limits I mentioned earlier, and China is also fundamental to major issues such as climate and stability.
Then I look at the planet: billions of people live neither in China nor in the United States of America. From India to Brazil, from Africa to the Indo-Pacific, all these people are saying: we have preferences, friends, sometimes the same as you, but we would still like to find a space where we can defend our values and our interests, continue to work with one and continue to be involved to some extent with the other. It’s good and necessary that Europeans can continue to talk to this part of the world too. And that’s the whole point of what I’ve done with the Paris Pact for People and Planet. There’s an agenda for fighting inequality and for development and investment based on solidarity. There is an agenda for the climate, for biodiversity, which must be thought through with this part of the globe that is in the majority. And it cannot be regarded exclusively through the lens of Sino-American tension.
。。。
But there comes a time when it is in the interests of the Americans for the Europeans to play a greater role in the defence of their neighbourhood and in this conflict. Because the Americans cannot be placed in this strategic dilemma. There’s a way of thinking which is to look at the world in a lateral sense, as I have just done. To say: I want to keep my autonomy and I want to talk to all the others. I don’t want to be crushed between two blocs. There is also our complementary way of doing things, which is to say: if I am a good partner of Americans and I owe them a great deal for my security over the last few decades, my responsibility is never to put them in a strategic dilemma that would mean choosing between Europeans and their own interests in the face of China. And so we have to say that it’s our job to do that.
回顾和展望乌克兰情况
版主： Caravel， TheMatrix， molen
#318 Re: 回顾和展望乌克兰情况
The Economist: Do you think that other leaders will end up having to share your position on this if Russia is finally to be deterred?
Emmanuel Macron: You should never engage in political fiction. But I am convinced of one thing, and that is that this is the basic condition for European security and military credibility. So if Russia decided to go further, we will in any case all have to ask ourselves this question. That’s why I wanted this strategic wake-up call for my counterparts, but also for our nations. France is a country that has carried out military interventions, including in recent times. We deployed several thousand troops in the Sahel to fight terrorism, which could have posed a threat to us. We did so at the request of sovereign states. If the Russians were to break through the front lines, if there were a Ukrainian request—which is not the case today—we would legitimately have to ask ourselves this question. So I think to rule it out a priori is not to learn the lessons of the past two years. At the nato summit in the summer of 2022, we all ruled out the delivery of tanks, deep-strike missiles, aircraft. We are now all in the process of doing this, so it would be wrong to rule out the rest. But above all, it would be wrong in terms of credibility and deterrence vis-à-vis the Russians to rule it out. I note, by the way, that the aggressiveness of the Russian response to what I said showed that this was having the desired effect, which was to say: Don’t think that we will stop here if you don’t stop.
Emmanuel Macron: You should never engage in political fiction. But I am convinced of one thing, and that is that this is the basic condition for European security and military credibility. So if Russia decided to go further, we will in any case all have to ask ourselves this question. That’s why I wanted this strategic wake-up call for my counterparts, but also for our nations. France is a country that has carried out military interventions, including in recent times. We deployed several thousand troops in the Sahel to fight terrorism, which could have posed a threat to us. We did so at the request of sovereign states. If the Russians were to break through the front lines, if there were a Ukrainian request—which is not the case today—we would legitimately have to ask ourselves this question. So I think to rule it out a priori is not to learn the lessons of the past two years. At the nato summit in the summer of 2022, we all ruled out the delivery of tanks, deep-strike missiles, aircraft. We are now all in the process of doing this, so it would be wrong to rule out the rest. But above all, it would be wrong in terms of credibility and deterrence vis-à-vis the Russians to rule it out. I note, by the way, that the aggressiveness of the Russian response to what I said showed that this was having the desired effect, which was to say: Don’t think that we will stop here if you don’t stop.
#322 Re: 回顾和展望乌克兰情况
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles ... n-23-years
Russia’s Gazprom Reports First Net Loss in 24 Years
Drop in gas revenue led to 629 billion-ruble net loss
Income from oil and power utilities increased last year
Gazprom Group, which also includes oil and power businesses, posted a 629 billion-ruble ($6.84 billion) loss last year compared with net income of 1.23 trillion rubles in 2022, according to an earnings report published Thursday.
Revenue from gas fell by 40% to 4.88 trillion rubles, according the report.
This year Russia expects its gas shipments via pipelines to foreign markets will increase 18% this year to 108 billion cubic meters compared with 2023, as the Power of Siberia link to China gradually reaches its nameplate capacity. But even as more supplies head to China, it can’t offset the loss of the European market.
Revenue from the group’s oil business rose by 6.7% to 3.88 trillion rubles last year, while sales at its power utilities business increased by 8.8% to 617 billion rubles.
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bloomber ... 47548.html
Russia is expected to export natural gas to China with prices as much as 28% below those for Russia's European clients at least until 2027, Bloomberg reported on April 23, citing the Russian Economy Ministry's outlook.
According to the outlook Bloomberg received, the ministry sees the gas exports' price to China at $257 per 1,000 cubic meters compared with $320.30 for Western markets, considering the base-case scenario.
Russia forecasts that the price for China might decrease from 2025 through 2027, while the cost for Europe is likely to remain "roughly flat."
The outlook also shows that Russia's total gas exports will grow at least through 2026, supported by a rise in gas production after the drop in 2022.
Currently, Gazprom delivers gas to China via the Power of Siberia pipeline and aims to increase the volume to the planned annual maximum of 38 billion cubic meters in 2025, according to Bloomberg.
The media outlet said that gas exports are set to ramp up as Moscow and Beijing are considering the launch of the Power of Siberia 2 link, lifting Gazprom's deliveries to a total of 98 billion cubic meters per year.
"Still, even if the plans materialize and all three pipelines operate at full capacity, they will carry only roughly half of what Russia used to send to Europe before the war in Ukraine," Bloomberg's article read.
Since the start of Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine, the European Union has set the goal of weaning itself off from Russian gas supplies, as well as other fossil fuels. Yet many European countries depend on Russian fuel imports.
Russia’s Gazprom Reports First Net Loss in 24 Years
Drop in gas revenue led to 629 billion-ruble net loss
Income from oil and power utilities increased last year
Gazprom Group, which also includes oil and power businesses, posted a 629 billion-ruble ($6.84 billion) loss last year compared with net income of 1.23 trillion rubles in 2022, according to an earnings report published Thursday.
Revenue from gas fell by 40% to 4.88 trillion rubles, according the report.
This year Russia expects its gas shipments via pipelines to foreign markets will increase 18% this year to 108 billion cubic meters compared with 2023, as the Power of Siberia link to China gradually reaches its nameplate capacity. But even as more supplies head to China, it can’t offset the loss of the European market.
Revenue from the group’s oil business rose by 6.7% to 3.88 trillion rubles last year, while sales at its power utilities business increased by 8.8% to 617 billion rubles.
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bloomber ... 47548.html
Russia is expected to export natural gas to China with prices as much as 28% below those for Russia's European clients at least until 2027, Bloomberg reported on April 23, citing the Russian Economy Ministry's outlook.
According to the outlook Bloomberg received, the ministry sees the gas exports' price to China at $257 per 1,000 cubic meters compared with $320.30 for Western markets, considering the base-case scenario.
Russia forecasts that the price for China might decrease from 2025 through 2027, while the cost for Europe is likely to remain "roughly flat."
The outlook also shows that Russia's total gas exports will grow at least through 2026, supported by a rise in gas production after the drop in 2022.
Currently, Gazprom delivers gas to China via the Power of Siberia pipeline and aims to increase the volume to the planned annual maximum of 38 billion cubic meters in 2025, according to Bloomberg.
The media outlet said that gas exports are set to ramp up as Moscow and Beijing are considering the launch of the Power of Siberia 2 link, lifting Gazprom's deliveries to a total of 98 billion cubic meters per year.
"Still, even if the plans materialize and all three pipelines operate at full capacity, they will carry only roughly half of what Russia used to send to Europe before the war in Ukraine," Bloomberg's article read.
Since the start of Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine, the European Union has set the goal of weaning itself off from Russian gas supplies, as well as other fossil fuels. Yet many European countries depend on Russian fuel imports.
#323 Re: 回顾和展望乌克兰情况
that's surprising from the nato's true friend
https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/offi ... 225230.htm
NATO Allies are deeply concerned about recent malign activities on Allied territory, including those resulting in the investigation and charging of multiple individuals in connection with hostile state activity affecting Czechia, Estonia, Germany, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, and the United Kingdom.
These incidents are part of an intensifying campaign of activities which Russia continues to carry out across the Euro-Atlantic area, including on Alliance territory and through proxies. This includes sabotage, acts of violence, cyber and electronic interference, disinformation campaigns, and other hybrid operations. NATO Allies express their deep concern over Russia's hybrid actions, which constitute a threat to Allied security.
We support and stand in solidarity with the affected Allies. We will act individually and collectively to address these actions, and will continue to coordinate closely. We will continue to boost our resilience and to apply and enhance the tools at our disposal to counter and contest Russian hybrid actions and will ensure that the Alliance and Allies are prepared to deter and defend against hybrid actions or attacks.
We condemn Russia's behaviour, and we call on Russia to uphold its international obligations, as Allies do theirs. Russia's actions will not deter Allies from continuing to support Ukraine.
https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/offi ... 225230.htm
NATO Allies are deeply concerned about recent malign activities on Allied territory, including those resulting in the investigation and charging of multiple individuals in connection with hostile state activity affecting Czechia, Estonia, Germany, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, and the United Kingdom.
These incidents are part of an intensifying campaign of activities which Russia continues to carry out across the Euro-Atlantic area, including on Alliance territory and through proxies. This includes sabotage, acts of violence, cyber and electronic interference, disinformation campaigns, and other hybrid operations. NATO Allies express their deep concern over Russia's hybrid actions, which constitute a threat to Allied security.
We support and stand in solidarity with the affected Allies. We will act individually and collectively to address these actions, and will continue to coordinate closely. We will continue to boost our resilience and to apply and enhance the tools at our disposal to counter and contest Russian hybrid actions and will ensure that the Alliance and Allies are prepared to deter and defend against hybrid actions or attacks.
We condemn Russia's behaviour, and we call on Russia to uphold its international obligations, as Allies do theirs. Russia's actions will not deter Allies from continuing to support Ukraine.
#328 Re: 回顾和展望乌克兰情况
这个叛国亲俄分子还在sumy周边生活
comment section：
“ hope Masno doesn’t get SBU’ed. Praying for his well-being and that he’s using a VPN at the least.”
comment section：
“ hope Masno doesn’t get SBU’ed. Praying for his well-being and that he’s using a VPN at the least.”