我相信SP500会回到6000的，今年不会熊市

[Bluesky]

2025年12月底六千一百。今年不是熊市。

就是说今年年底也回不到新高？

[长冬瓜]

Looks like the market is making a solid comeback~ Let’s see if 5600 can hold the line!

[长冬瓜]

The SP 500 bouncing back to 5,600 is a good sign, but I’m not overly optimistic. While the market seems to be stabilizing, the Fed’s talk tomorrow could stir things up again.

They’re probably not changing rates, but their tone will matter. With inflation still an issue and Trump’s tariffs adding stress, if they hint at high rates sticking around or weak economic signals, expect the market to react badly. A pullback to 5,500-5,550 wouldn’t shock me as traders take profits.

Still, this isn’t a crash—it’s just noise. The slowing decline and Ukraine truce point to a bottom forming. The Fed might shake things up, but the overall recovery is still on track.

[robot2022]

The SP 500 bouncing back to 5,600 is a good sign, but I’m not overly optimistic. While the market seems to be stabilizing, the Fed’s talk tomorrow could stir things up again.

They’re probably not changing rates, but their tone will matter. With inflation still an issue and Trump’s tariffs adding stress, if they hint at high rates sticking around or weak economic signals, expect the market to react badly. A pullback to 5,500-5,550 wouldn’t shock me as traders take profits.

Still, this isn’t a crash—it’s just noise. The slowing decline and Ukraine truce point to a bottom forming. The Fed might shake things up, but the overall recovery is still on track.

明天开一天的会？
市场几点反应啊

[长冬瓜]

5700 Reached!

As I expected, the Fed held rates steady, but the market loved Powell’s message even more than I thought. The SP500 just blasted past 5700, with Powell brushing off recession fears—exactly what traders wanted to hear.

So now I gotta ask—is 5800 next? Sure, we might see some bumps along the way, but this rally has serious momentum. If buyers keep stepping in, we could be looking at an even bigger run than most expect.

Strong momentum—I wouldn’t bet against this market yet.

[zyyj2021]

6700 Reached!

As I expected, the Fed held rates steady, but the market loved Powell’s message even more than I thought. The SP500 just blasted past 6700, with Powell brushing off recession fears—exactly what traders wanted to hear.

So now I gotta ask—is 6800 next? Sure, we might see some bumps along the way, but this rally has serious momentum. If buyers keep stepping in, we could be looking at an even bigger run than most expect.

Strong momentum—I wouldn’t bet against this market yet.

眼神有毛病吧， 现在sp500 是5700

[Savage]

眼神有毛病吧， 现在sp500 是5700

我们应该尊重靠信仰炒股的勇士。。。

[长冬瓜]

眼神有毛病吧， 现在sp500 是5700

Good catch! That was a typo—I meant 5700, not 6700. Appreciate you pointing it out!

[长冬瓜]

我们应该尊重靠信仰炒股的勇士。。。

I understand you bears’ frustration. But just to be clear, I don’t have any stock market positions—my predictions are purely out of academic interest. I don’t trade, so whether the market goes up or down, I’m just here to analyze the trends.

[长冬瓜]

熊熊们没必要把气撒到我头上。

市场不会因为我看多就涨。

我不炒股，只是太闲，跑过来玩而已。

[cboe]

熊熊们没必要把气撒到我头上。

市场不会因为我看多就涨。

我不炒股，只是太闲，跑过来玩而已。

支持 长冬瓜 发表自己见解。

[ferrygao]

7700

[闪光的二猫]

熊熊们没必要把气撒到我头上。

市场不会因为我看多就涨。

我不炒股，只是太闲，跑过来玩而已。

分析得不错，继续

[长冬瓜]

Trump即使实施所有他的关税政策，美国的经济前景依旧会好，因为关税仅仅是他全部经济政策的一小部分，他的其它政策会抵消关税的负面作用。

Trump第一任期SP500涨了68%，尽管当时的政治政策一样不利于稳定投资者信心。但他2017TCJA大幅度对企业减税，对企业的监管减少。干预Fed的货币政策等等，总体让美国经济稳健增长。

美国经济总体很稳健，但今年缺乏像去年一样的AI刺激力量。今年不会是牛市也不会是熊市。

[cboe]

。今年不会是牛市也不会是熊市。

“ 今年不会是牛市也不会是熊市。”

那是什么 市？

[cboe]

7700

如果没有台海战争核战争，野鸡看3年实现，2028年底前应该实现7700

[chinav5]

星期一跌到你相信为止。

“ 今年不会是牛市也不会是熊市。”

那是什么 市？

[cboe]

星期一跌到你相信为止。

早就准备好了，6000以上清仓啊。。。慢慢加啊

这次是，机构亏钱，（本版）散户赚钱。。。。

[water77]

如果没有台海战争核战争，野鸡看3年实现，2028年底前应该实现7700

6666先碰一下再说7700吧
这个跨度太大容易扯到蛋

[water77]

如果没有台海战争核战争，野鸡看3年实现，2028年底前应该实现7700

2027有台海战争啊
叔已经在未雨绸缪